Kirk Cousins vs Jalen Hurts
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kirk Cousins by 0.3 projected points (14.6 vs 14.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Kirk Cousins faces KC, the 28th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Jalen Hurts faces LA, the 23rd-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Kirk Cousins: a clear but modest edge of 15.0 points of value over replacement (-1.0 vs -16.0).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Kirk CousinsLVR | Jalen HurtsPHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | KC | LA | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 14.6 | 14.3 | Cousins +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #28 | #23 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 267.7 | 252.8 | Cousins +15.0 pts |
| Points per game | 15.7 | 14.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -1.0 | -16.0 | Cousins +15.0 |
| Overall rank | #73 | #82 | Cousins by 9 |
| Position rank | QB13 | QB15 | |
| Market ADP | - | 75.9 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 10 |
Should I start Kirk Cousins or Jalen Hurts in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kirk Cousins by 0.3 projected points (14.6 vs 14.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Kirk Cousins or Jalen Hurts in 2026 fantasy football?
Kirk Cousins. He projects 267.7 fantasy points with -1.0 value over replacement, vs 252.8 points and -16.0 for Jalen Hurts (QB, PPR).