Bo Nix vs Cam Ward
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
Start Bo Nix this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.2 projected points (12.9 vs 10.7).
Bo Nix faces ARI, the 18th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Cam Ward faces CLE, the 27th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Bo Nix, and it isn't close: 20.8 points of value over replacement separate them (-72.9 vs -93.6).
The draft market agrees: Bo Nix goes first at ADP 109.6 vs 173.1 for Cam Ward.
| Bo NixDEN | Cam WardTEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | ARI | CLE | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 12.9 | 10.7 | Nix +2.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #18 | #27 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 220.0 | 199.3 | Nix +20.8 pts |
| Points per game | 12.9 | 11.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -72.9 | -93.6 | Nix +20.8 |
| Overall rank | #161 | #184 | Nix by 23 |
| Position rank | QB25 | QB28 | |
| Market ADP | 109.6 | 173.1 | Ward +63.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 10 | Rd 15 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 9 |
Should I start Bo Nix or Cam Ward in Week 7?
Start Bo Nix this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.2 projected points (12.9 vs 10.7).
Should I draft Bo Nix or Cam Ward in 2026 fantasy football?
Bo Nix. He projects 220.0 fantasy points with -72.9 value over replacement, vs 199.3 points and -93.6 for Cam Ward (QB, PPR).