Fernando Mendoza vs Baker Mayfield

Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.

QB15
Fernando Mendoza
LVR · Bye 13
248.2
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB18
Baker Mayfield
TAM · Bye 10
222.2
projected 2026 points (PPR)

The call

The model takes Fernando Mendoza, and it isn't close: 26.0 points of value over replacement separate them (-2.3 vs -28.3).

The room sees it the other way: drafters take Baker Mayfield first (ADP 130.4 vs 167.1). If the model is right, Fernando Mendoza is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.

Would both make it back to your pick? The draft board simulates your whole room pick by pick, so you can see who is likely to still be there. Free, no signup.
Mock draft this pick
Fernando MendozaLVR Baker MayfieldTAM Edge
Projected 2026 points (PPR) 248.2 222.2 Mendoza +26.0 pts
Points per game 14.6 13.1
Value over replacement (VBD) -2.3 -28.3 Mendoza +26.0
Overall rank #75 #109 Mendoza by 34
Position rank QB15 QB18
Market ADP 167.1 130.4 Mendoza +36.7 cheaper
Typical round (12-team) Rd 14 Rd 11
Bye week 13 10

Should I draft Fernando Mendoza or Baker Mayfield in 2026 fantasy football?

Fernando Mendoza. He projects 248.2 fantasy points with -2.3 value over replacement, vs 222.2 points and -28.3 for Baker Mayfield (QB, PPR).

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