Fernando Mendoza vs Jared Goff
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
QB15
Fernando Mendoza
248.2
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB17
Jared Goff
235.7
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Fernando Mendoza: a clear but modest edge of 12.5 points of value over replacement (-15.0 vs -27.5).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Jared Goff first (ADP 99.8 vs 164.0). If the model is right, Fernando Mendoza is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Fernando MendozaLVR | Jared GoffDET | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 248.2 | 235.7 | Mendoza +12.5 pts |
| Points per game | 14.6 | 13.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -15.0 | -27.5 | Mendoza +12.5 |
| Overall rank | #97 | #109 | Mendoza by 12 |
| Position rank | QB15 | QB17 | |
| Market ADP | 164.0 | 99.8 | Mendoza +64.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 6 |
Should I draft Fernando Mendoza or Jared Goff in 2026 fantasy football?
Fernando Mendoza. He projects 248.2 fantasy points with -15.0 value over replacement, vs 235.7 points and -27.5 for Jared Goff (QB, PPR).