Fernando Mendoza vs Bo Nix

Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.

QB15
Fernando Mendoza
LVR · Bye 13
248.2
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB16
Bo Nix
DEN · Bye 10
240.8
projected 2026 points (PPR)

The call

The model takes Fernando Mendoza: a clear but modest edge of 7.4 points of value over replacement (-15.0 vs -22.4).

The room sees it the other way: drafters take Bo Nix first (ADP 111.9 vs 164.0). If the model is right, Fernando Mendoza is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.

Would both make it back to your pick? The draft board simulates your whole room pick by pick, so you can see who is likely to still be there. Free, no signup.
Mock draft this pick
Fernando MendozaLVR Bo NixDEN Edge
Projected 2026 points (PPR) 248.2 240.8 Mendoza +7.4 pts
Points per game 14.6 14.2
Value over replacement (VBD) -15.0 -22.4 Mendoza +7.4
Overall rank #97 #106 Mendoza by 9
Position rank QB15 QB16
Market ADP 164.0 111.9 Mendoza +52.1 cheaper
Typical round (12-team) Rd 14 Rd 10
Bye week 13 10

Should I draft Fernando Mendoza or Bo Nix in 2026 fantasy football?

Fernando Mendoza. He projects 248.2 fantasy points with -15.0 value over replacement, vs 240.8 points and -22.4 for Bo Nix (QB, PPR).

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