Fernando Mendoza vs Aaron Rodgers
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
Start Aaron Rodgers this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.4 projected points (14.9 vs 12.5).
Aaron Rodgers faces CIN, the 14th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Fernando Mendoza faces SEA, the 27th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Fernando Mendoza ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 10, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Fernando Mendoza by 0.8 points of value over replacement (-39.3 vs -40.0), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Fernando Mendoza goes first at ADP 147.1 vs 183.1 for Aaron Rodgers.
| Fernando MendozaLVR | Aaron RodgersPIT | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | SEA | CIN | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 12.5 | 14.9 | Rodgers +2.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #27 | #14 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 248.2 | 247.4 | Mendoza +0.8 pts |
| Points per game | 14.6 | 14.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -39.3 | -40.0 | Mendoza +0.8 |
| Overall rank | #119 | #121 | Mendoza by 2 |
| Position rank | QB15 | QB16 | |
| Market ADP | 147.1 | 183.1 | Rodgers +36.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 16 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 9 |
Should I start Fernando Mendoza or Aaron Rodgers in Week 10?
Start Aaron Rodgers this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.4 projected points (14.9 vs 12.5).
Should I draft Fernando Mendoza or Aaron Rodgers in 2026 fantasy football?
Fernando Mendoza. He projects 248.2 fantasy points with -39.3 value over replacement, vs 247.4 points and -40.0 for Aaron Rodgers (QB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.