Tyler Shough vs Aaron Rodgers
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
Start Tyler Shough this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.3 projected points (16.2 vs 14.9).
Tyler Shough faces CAR, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Aaron Rodgers faces CIN, the 14th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Tyler Shough, and it isn't close: 39.0 points of value over replacement separate them (-1.1 vs -40.0).
The draft market agrees: Tyler Shough goes first at ADP 137.8 vs 183.1 for Aaron Rodgers.
| Tyler ShoughNOR | Aaron RodgersPIT | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | CAR | CIN | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 16.2 | 14.9 | Shough +1.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #22 | #14 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 286.4 | 247.4 | Shough +39.0 pts |
| Points per game | 16.8 | 14.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -1.1 | -40.0 | Shough +39.0 |
| Overall rank | #75 | #121 | Shough by 46 |
| Position rank | QB13 | QB16 | |
| Market ADP | 137.8 | 183.1 | Rodgers +45.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | Rd 16 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 9 |
Should I start Tyler Shough or Aaron Rodgers in Week 10?
Start Tyler Shough this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.3 projected points (16.2 vs 14.9).
Should I draft Tyler Shough or Aaron Rodgers in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyler Shough. He projects 286.4 fantasy points with -1.1 value over replacement, vs 247.4 points and -40.0 for Aaron Rodgers (QB, PPR).