Ashton Jeanty vs Tony Pollard
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tony Pollard by 0.0 projected points (13.4 vs 13.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Tony Pollard faces JAX, the 16th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Ashton Jeanty faces SEA, the 26th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Ashton Jeanty ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 10, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Ashton Jeanty, and it isn't close: 28.1 points of value over replacement separate them (111.2 vs 83.1).
The draft market agrees: Ashton Jeanty goes first at ADP 21.0 vs 69.7 for Tony Pollard.
Health note: Tony Pollard carries an injury flag of Questionable (Finger), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Ashton JeantyLVR | Tony PollardTEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | SEA | JAX | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 13.4 | 13.4 | Even |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #26 | #16 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 257.9 | 229.8 | Jeanty +28.1 pts |
| Points per game | 15.2 | 13.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 111.2 | 83.1 | Jeanty +28.1 |
| Overall rank | #18 | #20 | Jeanty by 2 |
| Position rank | RB14 | RB15 | |
| Market ADP | 21.0 | 69.7 | Pollard +48.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 6 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 9 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Ashton Jeanty or Tony Pollard in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tony Pollard by 0.0 projected points (13.4 vs 13.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Ashton Jeanty or Tony Pollard in 2026 fantasy football?
Ashton Jeanty. He projects 257.9 fantasy points with 111.2 value over replacement, vs 229.8 points and 83.1 for Tony Pollard (RB, PPR).