Antonio Gibson vs Ollie Gordon
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Antonio Gibson by 0.4 projected points (2.4 vs 2.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Antonio Gibson faces BUF, the 21st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Ollie Gordon faces MIN, the 30th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Antonio Gibson by 1.1 points of value over replacement (-95.7 vs -96.8), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Antonio Gibson carries an injury flag of Questionable (Knee - ACL), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: Ollie Gordon carries an injury flag of Questionable (Undisclosed), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Antonio GibsonNWE | Ollie GordonMIA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | BUF | MIN | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 2.4 | 2.0 | Gibson +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #21 | #30 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 40.9 | 39.8 | Gibson +1.1 pts |
| Points per game | 2.4 | 2.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -95.7 | -96.8 | Gibson +1.1 |
| Overall rank | #194 | #195 | Gibson by 1 |
| Position rank | RB72 | RB73 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 11 | 6 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | Questionable |
Should I start Antonio Gibson or Ollie Gordon in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Antonio Gibson by 0.4 projected points (2.4 vs 2.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Antonio Gibson or Ollie Gordon in 2026 fantasy football?
Antonio Gibson. He projects 40.9 fantasy points with -95.7 value over replacement, vs 39.8 points and -96.8 for Ollie Gordon (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.