Samaje Perine vs Ollie Gordon
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Samaje Perine by 0.7 projected points (2.7 vs 2.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Samaje Perine faces JAX, the 5th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Ollie Gordon faces MIN, the 30th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Samaje Perine by 1.7 points of value over replacement (-95.1 vs -96.8), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Ollie Gordon carries an injury flag of Questionable (Undisclosed), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Samaje PerineCIN | Ollie GordonMIA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | JAX | MIN | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 2.7 | 2.0 | Perine +0.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #5 | #30 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 41.5 | 39.8 | Perine +1.7 pts |
| Points per game | 2.4 | 2.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -95.1 | -96.8 | Perine +1.7 |
| Overall rank | #189 | #195 | Perine by 6 |
| Position rank | RB70 | RB73 | |
| Market ADP | 168.0 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | - | |
| Bye week | 6 | 6 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Samaje Perine or Ollie Gordon in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Samaje Perine by 0.7 projected points (2.7 vs 2.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Samaje Perine or Ollie Gordon in 2026 fantasy football?
Samaje Perine. He projects 41.5 fantasy points with -95.1 value over replacement, vs 39.8 points and -96.8 for Ollie Gordon (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.