Jaret Patterson vs Ollie Gordon
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jaret Patterson by 0.1 projected points (2.1 vs 2.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jaret Patterson faces SEA, the 29th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Ollie Gordon faces MIN, the 30th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jaret Patterson by 1.1 points of value over replacement (-95.6 vs -96.8), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Ollie Gordon carries an injury flag of Questionable (Undisclosed), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jaret PattersonLAC | Ollie GordonMIA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | SEA | MIN | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 2.1 | 2.0 | Patterson +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #29 | #30 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 40.9 | 39.8 | Patterson +1.1 pts |
| Points per game | 2.4 | 2.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -95.6 | -96.8 | Patterson +1.1 |
| Overall rank | #193 | #195 | Patterson by 2 |
| Position rank | RB71 | RB73 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 7 | 6 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Jaret Patterson or Ollie Gordon in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jaret Patterson by 0.1 projected points (2.1 vs 2.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jaret Patterson or Ollie Gordon in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaret Patterson. He projects 40.9 fantasy points with -95.6 value over replacement, vs 39.8 points and -96.8 for Ollie Gordon (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.