Tank Bigsby vs Jaret Patterson
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tank Bigsby by 0.2 projected points (2.4 vs 2.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Tank Bigsby faces CHI, the 18th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Jaret Patterson faces BUF, the 29th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Tank Bigsby by 0.9 points of value over replacement (-94.8 vs -95.6), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Tank Bigsby carries an injury flag of Questionable (Abdomen), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Tank BigsbyPHI | Jaret PattersonLAC | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | CHI | BUF | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 2.4 | 2.2 | Bigsby +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #18 | #29 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 41.8 | 40.9 | Bigsby +0.9 pts |
| Points per game | 2.5 | 2.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -94.8 | -95.6 | Bigsby +0.9 |
| Overall rank | #193 | #198 | Bigsby by 5 |
| Position rank | RB72 | RB75 | |
| Market ADP | 159.1 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | - | |
| Bye week | 10 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Tank Bigsby or Jaret Patterson in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tank Bigsby by 0.2 projected points (2.4 vs 2.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tank Bigsby or Jaret Patterson in 2026 fantasy football?
Tank Bigsby. He projects 41.8 fantasy points with -94.8 value over replacement, vs 40.9 points and -95.6 for Jaret Patterson (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.