Tank Bigsby vs Ty Johnson
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ty Johnson by 0.3 projected points (2.7 vs 2.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Ty Johnson faces LAC, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Tank Bigsby faces CHI, the 18th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Tank Bigsby ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Tank Bigsby by 0.3 points of value over replacement (-94.8 vs -95.0), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Tank Bigsby carries an injury flag of Questionable (Abdomen), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Tank BigsbyPHI | Ty JohnsonBUF | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | CHI | LAC | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 2.4 | 2.7 | Johnson +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #18 | #3 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 41.8 | 41.5 | Bigsby +0.3 pts |
| Points per game | 2.5 | 2.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -94.8 | -95.0 | Bigsby +0.3 |
| Overall rank | #193 | #194 | Bigsby by 1 |
| Position rank | RB72 | RB73 | |
| Market ADP | 159.1 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | - | |
| Bye week | 10 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Tank Bigsby or Ty Johnson in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ty Johnson by 0.3 projected points (2.7 vs 2.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tank Bigsby or Ty Johnson in 2026 fantasy football?
Tank Bigsby. He projects 41.8 fantasy points with -94.8 value over replacement, vs 41.5 points and -95.0 for Ty Johnson (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.