Jaret Patterson vs Chris Brooks
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Chris Brooks by 0.2 projected points (2.3 vs 2.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Chris Brooks faces TB, the 19th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Jaret Patterson faces SEA, the 29th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Jaret Patterson ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jaret Patterson by 1.8 points of value over replacement (-95.6 vs -97.4), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Jaret PattersonLAC | Chris BrooksGNB | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | SEA | TB | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 2.1 | 2.3 | Brooks +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #29 | #19 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 40.9 | 39.2 | Patterson +1.8 pts |
| Points per game | 2.4 | 2.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -95.6 | -97.4 | Patterson +1.8 |
| Overall rank | #193 | #197 | Patterson by 4 |
| Position rank | RB71 | RB74 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 7 | 11 |
Should I start Jaret Patterson or Chris Brooks in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Chris Brooks by 0.2 projected points (2.3 vs 2.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jaret Patterson or Chris Brooks in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaret Patterson. He projects 40.9 fantasy points with -95.6 value over replacement, vs 39.2 points and -97.4 for Chris Brooks (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.