Jaret Patterson vs Antonio Gibson
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Antonio Gibson by 0.1 projected points (2.3 vs 2.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Antonio Gibson faces JAX, the 20th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Jaret Patterson faces BUF, the 29th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Jaret Patterson ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jaret Patterson by 0.0 points of value over replacement (-95.6 vs -95.7), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Antonio Gibson carries an injury flag of Questionable (Knee - ACL), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jaret PattersonLAC | Antonio GibsonNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | BUF | JAX | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 2.2 | 2.3 | Gibson +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #29 | #20 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 40.9 | 40.9 | Even |
| Points per game | 2.4 | 2.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -95.6 | -95.7 | Even |
| Overall rank | #198 | #199 | Patterson by 1 |
| Position rank | RB75 | RB76 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 7 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Jaret Patterson or Antonio Gibson in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Antonio Gibson by 0.1 projected points (2.3 vs 2.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jaret Patterson or Antonio Gibson in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaret Patterson. He projects 40.9 fantasy points with -95.6 value over replacement, vs 40.9 points and -95.7 for Antonio Gibson (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.