Samaje Perine vs Antonio Gibson
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Samaje Perine by 0.3 projected points (2.6 vs 2.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Samaje Perine faces PIT, the 7th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Antonio Gibson faces JAX, the 20th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Samaje Perine by 0.6 points of value over replacement (-95.1 vs -95.7), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Antonio Gibson carries an injury flag of Questionable (Knee - ACL), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Samaje PerineCIN | Antonio GibsonNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | PIT | JAX | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 2.6 | 2.3 | Perine +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #7 | #20 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 41.5 | 40.9 | Perine +0.6 pts |
| Points per game | 2.4 | 2.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -95.1 | -95.7 | Perine +0.6 |
| Overall rank | #195 | #199 | Perine by 4 |
| Position rank | RB74 | RB76 | |
| Market ADP | 168.0 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | - | |
| Bye week | 6 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Samaje Perine or Antonio Gibson in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Samaje Perine by 0.3 projected points (2.6 vs 2.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Samaje Perine or Antonio Gibson in 2026 fantasy football?
Samaje Perine. He projects 41.5 fantasy points with -95.1 value over replacement, vs 40.9 points and -95.7 for Antonio Gibson (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.