Ty Johnson vs Samaje Perine
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ty Johnson by 0.1 projected points (2.7 vs 2.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Ty Johnson faces LAC, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Samaje Perine faces PIT, the 7th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Ty Johnson by 0.0 points of value over replacement (-95.0 vs -95.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Ty JohnsonBUF | Samaje PerineCIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | LAC | PIT | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 2.7 | 2.6 | Johnson +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #3 | #7 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 41.5 | 41.5 | Even |
| Points per game | 2.4 | 2.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -95.0 | -95.1 | Even |
| Overall rank | #194 | #195 | Johnson by 1 |
| Position rank | RB73 | RB74 | |
| Market ADP | - | 168.0 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 6 |
Should I start Ty Johnson or Samaje Perine in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ty Johnson by 0.1 projected points (2.7 vs 2.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Ty Johnson or Samaje Perine in 2026 fantasy football?
Ty Johnson. He projects 41.5 fantasy points with -95.0 value over replacement, vs 41.5 points and -95.1 for Samaje Perine (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.