Alvin Kamara vs Mike Washington Jr.
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Alvin Kamara by 0.8 projected points (4.9 vs 4.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Alvin Kamara faces ATL, the 8th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Mike Washington Jr. faces KC, the 25th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Alvin Kamara by 4.0 points of value over replacement (-59.3 vs -63.3), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Alvin Kamara goes first at ADP 148.7 vs 151.4 for Mike Washington Jr..
| Alvin KamaraNOR | Mike Washington Jr.LVR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | ATL | KC | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 4.9 | 4.1 | Kamara +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #8 | #25 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 77.3 | 73.3 | Kamara +4.0 pts |
| Points per game | 4.5 | 4.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -59.3 | -63.3 | Kamara +4.0 |
| Overall rank | #136 | #141 | Kamara by 5 |
| Position rank | RB43 | RB46 | |
| Market ADP | 148.7 | 151.4 | Jr. +2.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 13 |
Should I start Alvin Kamara or Mike Washington Jr. in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Alvin Kamara by 0.8 projected points (4.9 vs 4.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Alvin Kamara or Mike Washington Jr. in 2026 fantasy football?
Alvin Kamara. He projects 77.3 fantasy points with -59.3 value over replacement, vs 73.3 points and -63.3 for Mike Washington Jr. (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.