Woody Marks vs Alvin Kamara
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Woody Marks by 2.0 points of value over replacement (-53.7 vs -55.7), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Woody Marks goes first at ADP 140.9 vs 145.3 for Alvin Kamara.
Health note: Alvin Kamara carries an injury flag of Questionable (Knee), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Woody MarksHOU | Alvin KamaraNOR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 76.0 | 74.0 | Marks +2.0 pts |
| Points per game | 4.5 | 4.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -53.7 | -55.7 | Marks +2.0 |
| Overall rank | #140 | #144 | Marks by 4 |
| Position rank | RB52 | RB53 | |
| Market ADP | 140.9 | 145.3 | Kamara +4.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I draft Woody Marks or Alvin Kamara in 2026 fantasy football?
Woody Marks. He projects 76.0 fantasy points with -53.7 value over replacement, vs 74.0 points and -55.7 for Alvin Kamara (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.