Woody Marks vs Alvin Kamara
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Woody Marks by 0.2 projected points (4.6 vs 4.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Woody Marks faces TEN, the 21st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Alvin Kamara faces MIN, the 25th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Woody Marks by 1.2 points of value over replacement (-58.1 vs -59.3), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Woody Marks goes first at ADP 140.9 vs 148.7 for Alvin Kamara.
Health note: Alvin Kamara carries an injury flag of Questionable (Back), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Woody MarksHOU | Alvin KamaraNOR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | TEN | MIN | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 4.6 | 4.4 | Marks +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #21 | #25 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 78.5 | 77.3 | Marks +1.2 pts |
| Points per game | 4.6 | 4.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -58.1 | -59.3 | Marks +1.2 |
| Overall rank | #135 | #137 | Marks by 2 |
| Position rank | RB42 | RB44 | |
| Market ADP | 140.9 | 148.7 | Kamara +7.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Woody Marks or Alvin Kamara in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Woody Marks by 0.2 projected points (4.6 vs 4.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Woody Marks or Alvin Kamara in 2026 fantasy football?
Woody Marks. He projects 78.5 fantasy points with -58.1 value over replacement, vs 77.3 points and -59.3 for Alvin Kamara (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.