Hunter Henry vs AJ Barner
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans AJ Barner by 0.3 projected points (7.3 vs 7.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
AJ Barner faces LAC, the 8th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Hunter Henry faces BUF, the 14th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Hunter Henry ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Hunter Henry by 1.3 points of value over replacement (-77.2 vs -78.4), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Hunter HenryNWE | AJ BarnerSEA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | BUF | LAC | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 7.1 | 7.3 | Barner +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #14 | #8 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 120.4 | 119.1 | Henry +1.3 pts |
| Points per game | 7.1 | 7.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -77.2 | -78.4 | Henry +1.3 |
| Overall rank | #164 | #166 | Henry by 2 |
| Position rank | TE27 | TE28 | |
| Market ADP | 154.5 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | - | |
| Bye week | 11 | 11 |
Should I start Hunter Henry or AJ Barner in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans AJ Barner by 0.3 projected points (7.3 vs 7.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Hunter Henry or AJ Barner in 2026 fantasy football?
Hunter Henry. He projects 120.4 fantasy points with -77.2 value over replacement, vs 119.1 points and -78.4 for AJ Barner (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.