Tyler Higbee vs Hunter Henry
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Hunter Henry by 0.2 projected points (7.1 vs 6.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Hunter Henry faces BUF, the 14th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Tyler Higbee faces PHI, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Tyler Higbee ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Higbee by 1.1 points of value over replacement (-76.1 vs -77.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Tyler HigbeeLAR | Hunter HenryNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | PHI | BUF | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 6.8 | 7.1 | Henry +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #22 | #14 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 121.4 | 120.4 | Higbee +1.1 pts |
| Points per game | 7.1 | 7.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -76.1 | -77.2 | Higbee +1.1 |
| Overall rank | #161 | #164 | Higbee by 3 |
| Position rank | TE25 | TE27 | |
| Market ADP | - | 154.5 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 11 |
Should I start Tyler Higbee or Hunter Henry in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Hunter Henry by 0.2 projected points (7.1 vs 6.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tyler Higbee or Hunter Henry in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyler Higbee. He projects 121.4 fantasy points with -76.1 value over replacement, vs 120.4 points and -77.2 for Hunter Henry (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.