Michael Mayer vs Tyler Higbee
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Higbee by 0.1 projected points (6.8 vs 6.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Tyler Higbee faces PHI, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Michael Mayer faces KC, the 28th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Michael Mayer ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Michael Mayer by 4.3 points of value over replacement (-71.8 vs -76.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Michael MayerLVR | Tyler HigbeeLAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | KC | PHI | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 6.8 | 6.8 | Higbee +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #28 | #22 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 125.7 | 121.4 | Mayer +4.3 pts |
| Points per game | 7.4 | 7.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -71.8 | -76.1 | Mayer +4.3 |
| Overall rank | #158 | #161 | Mayer by 3 |
| Position rank | TE23 | TE25 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 13 | 11 |
Should I start Michael Mayer or Tyler Higbee in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Higbee by 0.1 projected points (6.8 vs 6.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Michael Mayer or Tyler Higbee in 2026 fantasy football?
Michael Mayer. He projects 125.7 fantasy points with -71.8 value over replacement, vs 121.4 points and -76.1 for Tyler Higbee (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.