Michael Mayer vs Mark Andrews
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Mark Andrews this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.6 projected points (8.4 vs 6.8).
Mark Andrews faces TEN, the 2nd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Michael Mayer faces KC, the 28th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Michael Mayer ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Michael Mayer by 1.4 points of value over replacement (-71.8 vs -73.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Michael MayerLVR | Mark AndrewsBAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | KC | TEN | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 6.8 | 8.4 | Andrews +1.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #28 | #2 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 125.7 | 124.3 | Mayer +1.4 pts |
| Points per game | 7.4 | 7.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -71.8 | -73.2 | Mayer +1.4 |
| Overall rank | #158 | #159 | Mayer by 1 |
| Position rank | TE23 | TE24 | |
| Market ADP | - | 133.0 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 13 |
Should I start Michael Mayer or Mark Andrews in Week 4?
Start Mark Andrews this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.6 projected points (8.4 vs 6.8).
Should I draft Michael Mayer or Mark Andrews in 2026 fantasy football?
Michael Mayer. He projects 125.7 fantasy points with -71.8 value over replacement, vs 124.3 points and -73.2 for Mark Andrews (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.