Tyler Higbee vs AJ Barner
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans AJ Barner by 0.5 projected points (7.3 vs 6.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
AJ Barner faces LAC, the 8th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Tyler Higbee faces PHI, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Tyler Higbee ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Higbee by 2.3 points of value over replacement (-76.1 vs -78.4), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Tyler HigbeeLAR | AJ BarnerSEA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | PHI | LAC | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 6.8 | 7.3 | Barner +0.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #22 | #8 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 121.4 | 119.1 | Higbee +2.3 pts |
| Points per game | 7.1 | 7.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -76.1 | -78.4 | Higbee +2.3 |
| Overall rank | #161 | #166 | Higbee by 5 |
| Position rank | TE25 | TE28 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 11 | 11 |
Should I start Tyler Higbee or AJ Barner in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans AJ Barner by 0.5 projected points (7.3 vs 6.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tyler Higbee or AJ Barner in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyler Higbee. He projects 121.4 fantasy points with -76.1 value over replacement, vs 119.1 points and -78.4 for AJ Barner (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.