Greg Dulcich vs AJ Barner
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start AJ Barner this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (7.3 vs 6.2).
AJ Barner faces LAC, the 8th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Greg Dulcich faces MIN, the 31st-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Greg Dulcich ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Greg Dulcich by 2.1 points of value over replacement (-76.3 vs -78.4), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Greg DulcichMIA | AJ BarnerSEA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | MIN | LAC | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 6.2 | 7.3 | Barner +1.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #31 | #8 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 121.2 | 119.1 | Dulcich +2.1 pts |
| Points per game | 7.1 | 7.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -76.3 | -78.4 | Dulcich +2.1 |
| Overall rank | #162 | #166 | Dulcich by 4 |
| Position rank | TE26 | TE28 | |
| Market ADP | 166.8 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | - | |
| Bye week | 6 | 11 |
Should I start Greg Dulcich or AJ Barner in Week 4?
Start AJ Barner this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (7.3 vs 6.2).
Should I draft Greg Dulcich or AJ Barner in 2026 fantasy football?
Greg Dulcich. He projects 121.2 fantasy points with -76.3 value over replacement, vs 119.1 points and -78.4 for AJ Barner (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.