Greg Dulcich vs Hunter Henry
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Hunter Henry by 0.8 projected points (7.1 vs 6.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Hunter Henry faces BUF, the 14th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Greg Dulcich faces MIN, the 31st-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Greg Dulcich ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Greg Dulcich by 0.8 points of value over replacement (-76.3 vs -77.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Hunter Henry first (ADP 154.5 vs 166.8). If the model is right, Greg Dulcich is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Greg DulcichMIA | Hunter HenryNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | MIN | BUF | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 6.2 | 7.1 | Henry +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #31 | #14 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 121.2 | 120.4 | Dulcich +0.8 pts |
| Points per game | 7.1 | 7.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -76.3 | -77.2 | Dulcich +0.8 |
| Overall rank | #162 | #164 | Dulcich by 2 |
| Position rank | TE26 | TE27 | |
| Market ADP | 166.8 | 154.5 | Dulcich +12.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 11 |
Should I start Greg Dulcich or Hunter Henry in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Hunter Henry by 0.8 projected points (7.1 vs 6.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Greg Dulcich or Hunter Henry in 2026 fantasy football?
Greg Dulcich. He projects 121.2 fantasy points with -76.3 value over replacement, vs 120.4 points and -77.2 for Hunter Henry (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.