Greg Dulcich vs Kyle Pitts
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kyle Pitts by 0.3 projected points (6.5 vs 6.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Kyle Pitts faces NO, the 25th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Greg Dulcich faces MIN, the 31st-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Greg Dulcich ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Greg Dulcich by 3.2 points of value over replacement (-76.3 vs -79.5), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Kyle Pitts first (ADP 80.8 vs 166.8). If the model is right, Greg Dulcich is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Greg DulcichMIA | Kyle PittsATL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | MIN | NO | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 6.2 | 6.5 | Pitts +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #31 | #25 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 121.2 | 118.0 | Dulcich +3.2 pts |
| Points per game | 7.1 | 6.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -76.3 | -79.5 | Dulcich +3.2 |
| Overall rank | #162 | #168 | Dulcich by 6 |
| Position rank | TE26 | TE29 | |
| Market ADP | 166.8 | 80.8 | Dulcich +86.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 11 |
Should I start Greg Dulcich or Kyle Pitts in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kyle Pitts by 0.3 projected points (6.5 vs 6.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Greg Dulcich or Kyle Pitts in 2026 fantasy football?
Greg Dulcich. He projects 121.2 fantasy points with -76.3 value over replacement, vs 118.0 points and -79.5 for Kyle Pitts (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.