AJ Barner vs Evan Engram
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans AJ Barner by 0.7 projected points (7.3 vs 6.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
AJ Barner faces LAC, the 8th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Evan Engram faces SF, the 15th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes AJ Barner: a clear but modest edge of 5.8 points of value over replacement (-78.4 vs -84.3).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| AJ BarnerSEA | Evan EngramDEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | LAC | SF | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 7.3 | 6.6 | Barner +0.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #8 | #15 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 119.1 | 113.3 | Barner +5.8 pts |
| Points per game | 7.0 | 6.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -78.4 | -84.3 | Barner +5.8 |
| Overall rank | #166 | #173 | Barner by 7 |
| Position rank | TE28 | TE31 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 11 | 10 |
Should I start AJ Barner or Evan Engram in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans AJ Barner by 0.7 projected points (7.3 vs 6.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft AJ Barner or Evan Engram in 2026 fantasy football?
AJ Barner. He projects 119.1 fantasy points with -78.4 value over replacement, vs 113.3 points and -84.3 for Evan Engram (TE, PPR).