Kyle Pitts vs Evan Engram
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Evan Engram by 0.1 projected points (6.6 vs 6.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Evan Engram faces SF, the 15th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Kyle Pitts faces NO, the 25th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Kyle Pitts ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Kyle Pitts by 4.7 points of value over replacement (-79.5 vs -84.3), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Kyle PittsATL | Evan EngramDEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | NO | SF | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 6.5 | 6.6 | Engram +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #25 | #15 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 118.0 | 113.3 | Pitts +4.7 pts |
| Points per game | 6.9 | 6.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -79.5 | -84.3 | Pitts +4.7 |
| Overall rank | #168 | #173 | Pitts by 5 |
| Position rank | TE29 | TE31 | |
| Market ADP | 80.8 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | - | |
| Bye week | 11 | 10 |
Should I start Kyle Pitts or Evan Engram in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Evan Engram by 0.1 projected points (6.6 vs 6.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Kyle Pitts or Evan Engram in 2026 fantasy football?
Kyle Pitts. He projects 118.0 fantasy points with -79.5 value over replacement, vs 113.3 points and -84.3 for Evan Engram (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.