Terrance Ferguson vs Zach Ertz
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Terrance Ferguson by 0.7 projected points (5.5 vs 4.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Terrance Ferguson faces ARI, the 7th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Zach Ertz faces SF, the 18th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Terrance Ferguson by 4.6 points of value over replacement (-104.1 vs -108.7), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Terrance Ferguson carries an injury flag of IR (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Terrance FergusonLAR | Zach ErtzWAS | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | ARI | SF | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 5.5 | 4.8 | Ferguson +0.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 28) | #7 | #18 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 88.7 | 84.1 | Ferguson +4.6 pts |
| Points per game | 5.2 | 4.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -104.1 | -108.7 | Ferguson +4.6 |
| Overall rank | #191 | #199 | Ferguson by 8 |
| Position rank | TE35 | TE37 | |
| Market ADP | 167.1 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | - | |
| Bye week | 11 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | IR | None |
Should I start Terrance Ferguson or Zach Ertz in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Terrance Ferguson by 0.7 projected points (5.5 vs 4.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Terrance Ferguson or Zach Ertz in 2026 fantasy football?
Terrance Ferguson. He projects 88.7 fantasy points with -104.1 value over replacement, vs 84.1 points and -108.7 for Zach Ertz (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.