Theo Johnson vs Terrance Ferguson
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Terrance Ferguson by 0.4 projected points (5.5 vs 5.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Terrance Ferguson faces ARI, the 7th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Theo Johnson faces NO, the 24th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Theo Johnson ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 6, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Theo Johnson by 3.6 points of value over replacement (-100.5 vs -104.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Theo Johnson carries an injury flag of Questionable (Neck), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: Terrance Ferguson carries an injury flag of IR (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Theo JohnsonNYG | Terrance FergusonLAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | NO | ARI | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 5.1 | 5.5 | Ferguson +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 28) | #24 | #7 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 92.3 | 88.7 | Johnson +3.6 pts |
| Points per game | 5.4 | 5.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -100.5 | -104.1 | Johnson +3.6 |
| Overall rank | #189 | #191 | Johnson by 2 |
| Position rank | TE34 | TE35 | |
| Market ADP | - | 167.1 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | IR |
Should I start Theo Johnson or Terrance Ferguson in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Terrance Ferguson by 0.4 projected points (5.5 vs 5.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Theo Johnson or Terrance Ferguson in 2026 fantasy football?
Theo Johnson. He projects 92.3 fantasy points with -100.5 value over replacement, vs 88.7 points and -104.1 for Terrance Ferguson (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.