Theo Johnson vs Zach Ertz
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Theo Johnson by 0.3 projected points (5.1 vs 4.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Theo Johnson faces NO, the 24th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Zach Ertz faces SF, the 18th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Theo Johnson: a clear but modest edge of 8.2 points of value over replacement (-100.5 vs -108.7).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Theo Johnson carries an injury flag of Questionable (Neck), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Theo JohnsonNYG | Zach ErtzWAS | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | NO | SF | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 5.1 | 4.8 | Johnson +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 28) | #24 | #18 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 92.3 | 84.1 | Johnson +8.2 pts |
| Points per game | 5.4 | 4.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -100.5 | -108.7 | Johnson +8.2 |
| Overall rank | #189 | #199 | Johnson by 10 |
| Position rank | TE34 | TE37 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 8 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Theo Johnson or Zach Ertz in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Theo Johnson by 0.3 projected points (5.1 vs 4.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Theo Johnson or Zach Ertz in 2026 fantasy football?
Theo Johnson. He projects 92.3 fantasy points with -100.5 value over replacement, vs 84.1 points and -108.7 for Zach Ertz (TE, PPR).