T.J. Hockenson vs Terrance Ferguson
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start T.J. Hockenson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (6.4 vs 5.3).
T.J. Hockenson faces MIA, the 11th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Terrance Ferguson faces PHI, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes T.J. Hockenson: a clear but modest edge of 12.1 points of value over replacement (-71.7 vs -83.8).
The draft market agrees: T.J. Hockenson goes first at ADP 162.0 vs 167.1 for Terrance Ferguson.
Health note: Terrance Ferguson carries an injury flag of Doubtful (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| T.J. HockensonMIN | Terrance FergusonLAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | MIA | PHI | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 6.4 | 5.3 | Hockenson +1.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #11 | #22 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 106.7 | 94.6 | Hockenson +12.1 pts |
| Points per game | 6.3 | 5.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -71.7 | -83.8 | Hockenson +12.1 |
| Overall rank | #152 | #161 | Hockenson by 9 |
| Position rank | TE21 | TE24 | |
| Market ADP | 162.0 | 167.1 | Ferguson +5.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | None | Doubtful |
Should I start T.J. Hockenson or Terrance Ferguson in Week 4?
Start T.J. Hockenson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (6.4 vs 5.3).
Should I draft T.J. Hockenson or Terrance Ferguson in 2026 fantasy football?
T.J. Hockenson. He projects 106.7 fantasy points with -71.7 value over replacement, vs 94.6 points and -83.8 for Terrance Ferguson (TE, PPR).