Dalton Schultz vs Terrance Ferguson
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Dalton Schultz by 0.9 projected points (6.5 vs 5.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Dalton Schultz faces JAX, the 9th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Terrance Ferguson faces ARI, the 7th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Dalton Schultz, and it isn't close: 17.8 points of value over replacement separate them (-71.9 vs -89.7).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Terrance Ferguson first (ADP 167.1 vs 176.6). If the model is right, Dalton Schultz is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Terrance Ferguson carries an injury flag of IR (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Dalton SchultzHOU | Terrance FergusonLAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | JAX | ARI | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 6.5 | 5.5 | Schultz +0.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 28) | #9 | #7 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 106.5 | 88.7 | Schultz +17.8 pts |
| Points per game | 6.3 | 5.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -71.9 | -89.7 | Schultz +17.8 |
| Overall rank | #153 | #170 | Schultz by 17 |
| Position rank | TE22 | TE25 | |
| Market ADP | 176.6 | 167.1 | Schultz +9.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 15 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | None | IR |
Should I start Dalton Schultz or Terrance Ferguson in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Dalton Schultz by 0.9 projected points (6.5 vs 5.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Dalton Schultz or Terrance Ferguson in 2026 fantasy football?
Dalton Schultz. He projects 106.5 fantasy points with -71.9 value over replacement, vs 88.7 points and -89.7 for Terrance Ferguson (TE, PPR).