MarShawn Lloyd vs Rachaad White
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans MarShawn Lloyd by 0.8 projected points (5.9 vs 5.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
MarShawn Lloyd faces TB, the 19th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Rachaad White faces IND, the 24th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes MarShawn Lloyd: a clear but modest edge of 11.7 points of value over replacement (-34.0 vs -45.7).
The draft market agrees: MarShawn Lloyd goes first at ADP 112.3 vs 130.0 for Rachaad White.
Health note: Rachaad White carries an injury flag of Questionable (Shoulder), which is already reflected in his projection.
| MarShawn LloydGNB | Rachaad WhiteWAS | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | TB | IND | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 5.9 | 5.2 | Lloyd +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #19 | #24 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 102.6 | 90.9 | Lloyd +11.7 pts |
| Points per game | 6.0 | 5.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -34.0 | -45.7 | Lloyd +11.7 |
| Overall rank | #108 | #122 | Lloyd by 14 |
| Position rank | RB37 | RB40 | |
| Market ADP | 112.3 | 130.0 | White +17.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 10 | Rd 11 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start MarShawn Lloyd or Rachaad White in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans MarShawn Lloyd by 0.8 projected points (5.9 vs 5.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft MarShawn Lloyd or Rachaad White in 2026 fantasy football?
MarShawn Lloyd. He projects 102.6 fantasy points with -34.0 value over replacement, vs 90.9 points and -45.7 for Rachaad White (RB, PPR).