Mike Evans vs Makai Lemon
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Mike Evans this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (9.7 vs 8.5).
Mike Evans faces ARI, the 9th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Makai Lemon faces CHI, the 18th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Mike Evans: a clear but modest edge of 10.0 points of value over replacement (-22.8 vs -32.8).
The draft market agrees: Mike Evans goes first at ADP 57.9 vs 131.2 for Makai Lemon.
Health note: Mike Evans carries an injury flag of Questionable (Hip), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Mike EvansSFO | Makai LemonPHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | ARI | CHI | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 9.7 | 8.5 | Evans +1.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #9 | #18 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 155.6 | 145.6 | Evans +10.0 pts |
| Points per game | 9.2 | 8.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -22.8 | -32.8 | Evans +10.0 |
| Overall rank | #101 | #106 | Evans by 5 |
| Position rank | WR41 | WR44 | |
| Market ADP | 57.9 | 131.2 | Lemon +73.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 11 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 10 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Mike Evans or Makai Lemon in Week 3?
Start Mike Evans this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (9.7 vs 8.5).
Should I draft Mike Evans or Makai Lemon in 2026 fantasy football?
Mike Evans. He projects 155.6 fantasy points with -22.8 value over replacement, vs 145.6 points and -32.8 for Makai Lemon (WR, PPR).