Mike Gesicki vs Kyle Pitts
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Mike Gesicki by 0.7 projected points (9.8 vs 9.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Mike Gesicki faces PIT, the 4th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Kyle Pitts faces KC, the 15th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Mike Gesicki by 1.1 points of value over replacement (-23.9 vs -25.0), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Mike GesickiCIN | Kyle PittsATL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | PIT | KC | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 9.8 | 9.1 | Gesicki +0.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 28) | #4 | #15 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 153.2 | 152.1 | Gesicki +1.1 pts |
| Points per game | 9.0 | 8.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -23.9 | -25.0 | Gesicki +1.1 |
| Overall rank | #100 | #103 | Gesicki by 3 |
| Position rank | TE15 | TE16 | |
| Market ADP | - | 80.8 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 11 |
Should I start Mike Gesicki or Kyle Pitts in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Mike Gesicki by 0.7 projected points (9.8 vs 9.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Mike Gesicki or Kyle Pitts in 2026 fantasy football?
Mike Gesicki. He projects 153.2 fantasy points with -23.9 value over replacement, vs 152.1 points and -25.0 for Kyle Pitts (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.