Stefon Diggs vs Josh Downs
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
Start Stefon Diggs this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.9 projected points (9.8 vs 8.0).
Stefon Diggs faces CHI, the 9th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Josh Downs faces MIN, the 26th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Stefon Diggs: a clear but modest edge of 11.0 points of value over replacement (-26.0 vs -37.0).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Josh Downs first (ADP 94.8 vs 96.8). If the model is right, Stefon Diggs is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Stefon DiggsNWE | Josh DownsIND | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | CHI | MIN | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 9.8 | 8.0 | Diggs +1.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 28) | #9 | #26 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 159.3 | 148.3 | Diggs +11.0 pts |
| Points per game | 9.4 | 8.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -26.0 | -37.0 | Diggs +11.0 |
| Overall rank | #97 | #104 | Diggs by 7 |
| Position rank | WR39 | WR42 | |
| Market ADP | 96.8 | 94.8 | Diggs +2.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 13 |
Should I start Stefon Diggs or Josh Downs in Week 7?
Start Stefon Diggs this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.9 projected points (9.8 vs 8.0).
Should I draft Stefon Diggs or Josh Downs in 2026 fantasy football?
Stefon Diggs. He projects 159.3 fantasy points with -26.0 value over replacement, vs 148.3 points and -37.0 for Josh Downs (WR, PPR).