Tyjae Spears vs Jonah Coleman
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyjae Spears by 0.4 projected points (3.9 vs 3.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Tyjae Spears faces HOU, the 30th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Jonah Coleman faces LAC, the 16th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Tyjae Spears, and it isn't close: 17.1 points of value over replacement separate them (-60.3 vs -77.5).
The draft market agrees: Tyjae Spears goes first at ADP 129.8 vs 155.6 for Jonah Coleman.
Health note: Jonah Coleman carries an injury flag of IR (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Tyjae SpearsTEN | Jonah ColemanDEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | HOU | LAC | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 3.9 | 3.5 | Spears +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #30 | #16 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 76.2 | 59.1 | Spears +17.1 pts |
| Points per game | 4.5 | 3.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -60.3 | -77.5 | Spears +17.1 |
| Overall rank | #138 | #153 | Spears by 15 |
| Position rank | RB45 | RB48 | |
| Market ADP | 129.8 | 155.6 | Coleman +25.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 11 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 10 | |
| Injury flag | None | IR |
Should I start Tyjae Spears or Jonah Coleman in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyjae Spears by 0.4 projected points (3.9 vs 3.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tyjae Spears or Jonah Coleman in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyjae Spears. He projects 76.2 fantasy points with -60.3 value over replacement, vs 59.1 points and -77.5 for Jonah Coleman (RB, PPR).