Tyjae Spears vs Alvin Kamara

Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.

RB50
Tyjae Spears
TEN · Bye 9
79.3
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
RB53
Alvin Kamara
NOR · Bye 8
74.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)

The call

The model takes Tyjae Spears: a clear but modest edge of 5.3 points of value over replacement (-50.4 vs -55.7).

The draft market agrees: Tyjae Spears goes first at ADP 130.1 vs 145.3 for Alvin Kamara.

Health note: Alvin Kamara carries an injury flag of Questionable (Knee), which is already reflected in his projection.

Would both make it back to your pick? The draft board simulates your whole room pick by pick, so you can see who is likely to still be there. Free, no signup.
Mock draft this pick
Tyjae SpearsTEN Alvin KamaraNOR Edge
Projected 2026 points (PPR) 79.3 74.0 Spears +5.3 pts
Points per game 4.7 4.4
Value over replacement (VBD) -50.4 -55.7 Spears +5.3
Overall rank #134 #144 Spears by 10
Position rank RB50 RB53
Market ADP 130.1 145.3 Kamara +15.2 cheaper
Typical round (12-team) Rd 11 Rd 13
Bye week 9 8
Injury flag None Questionable

Should I draft Tyjae Spears or Alvin Kamara in 2026 fantasy football?

Tyjae Spears. He projects 79.3 fantasy points with -50.4 value over replacement, vs 74.0 points and -55.7 for Alvin Kamara (RB, PPR).