Josh Allen vs Jayden Daniels
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Josh Allen this week, and it isn't close: 7.8 projected points separate them (26.1 vs 18.3).
Josh Allen faces NE, the 2nd-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Jayden Daniels faces IND, the 21st-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Josh Allen, and it isn't close: 79.1 points of value over replacement separate them (125.5 vs 46.5).
The draft market agrees: Josh Allen goes first at ADP 32.9 vs 75.2 for Jayden Daniels.
Health note: Jayden Daniels carries an injury flag of Out (Elbow), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Josh AllenBUF | Jayden DanielsWAS | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | NE | IND | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 26.1 | 18.3 | Allen +7.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #2 | #21 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 396.4 | 317.3 | Allen +79.1 pts |
| Points per game | 23.3 | 18.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 125.5 | 46.5 | Allen +79.1 |
| Overall rank | #8 | #37 | Allen by 29 |
| Position rank | QB1 | QB4 | |
| Market ADP | 32.9 | 75.2 | Daniels +42.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | None | Out |
Should I start Josh Allen or Jayden Daniels in Week 4?
Start Josh Allen this week, and it isn't close: 7.8 projected points separate them (26.1 vs 18.3).
Should I draft Josh Allen or Jayden Daniels in 2026 fantasy football?
Josh Allen. He projects 396.4 fantasy points with 125.5 value over replacement, vs 317.3 points and 46.5 for Jayden Daniels (QB, PPR).