Ollie Gordon vs Jawhar Jordan
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ollie Gordon by 0.2 projected points (3.3 vs 3.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Ollie Gordon faces CIN, the 27th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Jawhar Jordan faces TEN, the 13th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Ollie Gordon: a clear but modest edge of 9.2 points of value over replacement (-77.5 vs -86.7).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Ollie GordonMIA | Jawhar JordanHOU | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | CIN | TEN | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 3.3 | 3.0 | Gordon +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #27 | #13 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 59.1 | 49.8 | Gordon +9.2 pts |
| Points per game | 3.5 | 2.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -77.5 | -86.7 | Gordon +9.2 |
| Overall rank | #154 | #162 | Gordon by 8 |
| Position rank | RB49 | RB52 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 6 | 8 |
Should I start Ollie Gordon or Jawhar Jordan in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ollie Gordon by 0.2 projected points (3.3 vs 3.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Ollie Gordon or Jawhar Jordan in 2026 fantasy football?
Ollie Gordon. He projects 59.1 fantasy points with -77.5 value over replacement, vs 49.8 points and -86.7 for Jawhar Jordan (RB, PPR).