Ollie Gordon vs Kenneth Gainwell
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ollie Gordon by 0.0 projected points (3.3 vs 3.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Ollie Gordon faces CIN, the 27th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Kenneth Gainwell faces DAL, the 25th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Ollie Gordon by 1.7 points of value over replacement (-77.5 vs -79.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Ollie GordonMIA | Kenneth GainwellTAM | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | CIN | DAL | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 3.3 | 3.2 | Even |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #27 | #25 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 59.1 | 57.4 | Gordon +1.7 pts |
| Points per game | 3.5 | 3.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -77.5 | -79.2 | Gordon +1.7 |
| Overall rank | #154 | #156 | Gordon by 2 |
| Position rank | RB49 | RB50 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 6 | 10 |
Should I start Ollie Gordon or Kenneth Gainwell in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ollie Gordon by 0.0 projected points (3.3 vs 3.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Ollie Gordon or Kenneth Gainwell in 2026 fantasy football?
Ollie Gordon. He projects 59.1 fantasy points with -77.5 value over replacement, vs 57.4 points and -79.2 for Kenneth Gainwell (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.