Kenneth Gainwell vs Jawhar Jordan
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kenneth Gainwell by 0.0 projected points (3.1 vs 3.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Kenneth Gainwell faces MIN, the 25th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Jawhar Jordan faces IND, the 9th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Kenneth Gainwell: a clear but modest edge of 7.6 points of value over replacement (-79.2 vs -86.7).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Kenneth GainwellTAM | Jawhar JordanHOU | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | MIN | IND | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 3.1 | 3.1 | Even |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #25 | #9 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 57.4 | 49.8 | Gainwell +7.6 pts |
| Points per game | 3.4 | 2.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -79.2 | -86.7 | Gainwell +7.6 |
| Overall rank | #159 | #167 | Gainwell by 8 |
| Position rank | RB50 | RB53 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 10 | 8 |
Should I start Kenneth Gainwell or Jawhar Jordan in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kenneth Gainwell by 0.0 projected points (3.1 vs 3.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Kenneth Gainwell or Jawhar Jordan in 2026 fantasy football?
Kenneth Gainwell. He projects 57.4 fantasy points with -79.2 value over replacement, vs 49.8 points and -86.7 for Jawhar Jordan (RB, PPR).