Kenneth Gainwell vs Tyjae Spears
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kenneth Gainwell by 0.4 projected points (3.1 vs 2.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Kenneth Gainwell faces MIN, the 25th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Tyjae Spears faces NYG, the 31st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Kenneth Gainwell: a clear but modest edge of 5.0 points of value over replacement (-79.2 vs -84.2).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Tyjae Spears carries an injury flag of Questionable (Undisclosed), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Kenneth GainwellTAM | Tyjae SpearsTEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | MIN | NYG | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 3.1 | 2.7 | Gainwell +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #25 | #31 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 57.4 | 52.4 | Gainwell +5.0 pts |
| Points per game | 3.4 | 3.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -79.2 | -84.2 | Gainwell +5.0 |
| Overall rank | #159 | #164 | Gainwell by 5 |
| Position rank | RB50 | RB52 | |
| Market ADP | - | 129.8 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 11 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 9 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Kenneth Gainwell or Tyjae Spears in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kenneth Gainwell by 0.4 projected points (3.1 vs 2.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Kenneth Gainwell or Tyjae Spears in 2026 fantasy football?
Kenneth Gainwell. He projects 57.4 fantasy points with -79.2 value over replacement, vs 52.4 points and -84.2 for Tyjae Spears (RB, PPR).