Kenneth Gainwell vs Tyrone Tracy Jr.
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyrone Tracy Jr. by 0.2 projected points (3.3 vs 3.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Tyrone Tracy Jr. faces TEN, the 13th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Kenneth Gainwell faces MIN, the 25th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Kenneth Gainwell ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Kenneth Gainwell by 2.1 points of value over replacement (-79.2 vs -81.3), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Kenneth GainwellTAM | Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYG | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | MIN | TEN | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 3.1 | 3.3 | Jr. +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #25 | #13 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 57.4 | 55.3 | Gainwell +2.1 pts |
| Points per game | 3.4 | 3.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -79.2 | -81.3 | Gainwell +2.1 |
| Overall rank | #159 | #160 | Gainwell by 1 |
| Position rank | RB50 | RB51 | |
| Market ADP | - | 162.3 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 8 |
Should I start Kenneth Gainwell or Tyrone Tracy Jr. in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyrone Tracy Jr. by 0.2 projected points (3.3 vs 3.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Kenneth Gainwell or Tyrone Tracy Jr. in 2026 fantasy football?
Kenneth Gainwell. He projects 57.4 fantasy points with -79.2 value over replacement, vs 55.3 points and -81.3 for Tyrone Tracy Jr. (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.