Mike Washington Jr. vs Kenneth Gainwell
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Mike Washington Jr. by 0.4 projected points (3.6 vs 3.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Mike Washington Jr. faces NO, the 26th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Kenneth Gainwell faces MIN, the 25th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Mike Washington Jr.: a clear but modest edge of 8.6 points of value over replacement (-70.6 vs -79.2).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Mike Washington Jr.LVR | Kenneth GainwellTAM | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | NO | MIN | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 3.6 | 3.1 | Jr. +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #26 | #25 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 66.0 | 57.4 | Jr. +8.6 pts |
| Points per game | 3.9 | 3.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -70.6 | -79.2 | Jr. +8.6 |
| Overall rank | #151 | #159 | Jr. by 8 |
| Position rank | RB47 | RB50 | |
| Market ADP | 151.4 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | - | |
| Bye week | 13 | 10 |
Should I start Mike Washington Jr. or Kenneth Gainwell in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Mike Washington Jr. by 0.4 projected points (3.6 vs 3.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Mike Washington Jr. or Kenneth Gainwell in 2026 fantasy football?
Mike Washington Jr.. He projects 66.0 fantasy points with -70.6 value over replacement, vs 57.4 points and -79.2 for Kenneth Gainwell (RB, PPR).