Joe Burrow vs Jacoby Brissett
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Joe Burrow this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.0 projected points (18.1 vs 16.1).
Joe Burrow faces JAX, the 4th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Jacoby Brissett faces NYG, the 13th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Joe Burrow: a clear but modest edge of 8.3 points of value over replacement (8.3 vs 0.0).
The draft market agrees: Joe Burrow goes first at ADP 54.5 vs 174.1 for Jacoby Brissett.
| Joe BurrowCIN | Jacoby BrissettARI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | JAX | NYG | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 18.1 | 16.1 | Burrow +2.0 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #4 | #13 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 277.1 | 268.7 | Burrow +8.3 pts |
| Points per game | 16.3 | 15.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 8.3 | 0.0 | Burrow +8.3 |
| Overall rank | #62 | #71 | Burrow by 9 |
| Position rank | QB11 | QB12 | |
| Market ADP | 54.5 | 174.1 | Brissett +119.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 15 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 14 |
Should I start Joe Burrow or Jacoby Brissett in Week 4?
Start Joe Burrow this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.0 projected points (18.1 vs 16.1).
Should I draft Joe Burrow or Jacoby Brissett in 2026 fantasy football?
Joe Burrow. He projects 277.1 fantasy points with 8.3 value over replacement, vs 268.7 points and 0.0 for Jacoby Brissett (QB, PPR).