George Pickens vs Malik Nabers
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start George Pickens this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.8 projected points (14.0 vs 12.1).
George Pickens faces HOU, the 23rd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Malik Nabers faces ARI, the 21st-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes George Pickens, and it isn't close: 33.7 points of value over replacement separate them (65.0 vs 31.2).
The draft market agrees: George Pickens goes first at ADP 20.6 vs 27.1 for Malik Nabers.
| George PickensDAL | Malik NabersNYG | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | HOU | ARI | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 14.0 | 12.1 | Pickens +1.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #23 | #21 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 245.3 | 211.6 | Pickens +33.7 pts |
| Points per game | 14.4 | 12.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 65.0 | 31.2 | Pickens +33.7 |
| Overall rank | #29 | #42 | Pickens by 13 |
| Position rank | WR10 | WR13 | |
| Market ADP | 20.6 | 27.1 | Nabers +6.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 8 |
Should I start George Pickens or Malik Nabers in Week 4?
Start George Pickens this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.8 projected points (14.0 vs 12.1).
Should I draft George Pickens or Malik Nabers in 2026 fantasy football?
George Pickens. He projects 245.3 fantasy points with 65.0 value over replacement, vs 211.6 points and 31.2 for Malik Nabers (WR, PPR).