CeeDee Lamb vs George Pickens
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans CeeDee Lamb by 0.3 projected points (12.7 vs 12.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Both face TB, the 30th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes CeeDee Lamb: a clear but modest edge of 6.4 points of value over replacement (70.9 vs 64.5).
The draft market agrees: CeeDee Lamb goes first at ADP 10.4 vs 20.6 for George Pickens.
Health note: CeeDee Lamb carries an injury flag of Questionable (Quadriceps), which is already reflected in his projection.
| CeeDee LambDAL | George PickensDAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | TB | TB | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 12.7 | 12.4 | Lamb +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #30 | #30 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 248.9 | 242.5 | Lamb +6.4 pts |
| Points per game | 14.6 | 14.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 70.9 | 64.5 | Lamb +6.4 |
| Overall rank | #22 | #26 | Lamb by 4 |
| Position rank | WR6 | WR8 | |
| Market ADP | 10.4 | 20.6 | Pickens +10.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 1 | Rd 2 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 14 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start CeeDee Lamb or George Pickens in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans CeeDee Lamb by 0.3 projected points (12.7 vs 12.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft CeeDee Lamb or George Pickens in 2026 fantasy football?
CeeDee Lamb. He projects 248.9 fantasy points with 70.9 value over replacement, vs 242.5 points and 64.5 for George Pickens (WR, PPR).